We’ve seen a few flare-ups in the Tropics over the past few weeks...and a little flare-up recently in the Caribbean...but we have had nothing of importance near the U.S. coast since Hurricane Ike hit Texas. For that matter, we haven’t seen any period with as much tropical activity as we saw in the couple of weeks leading up to Ike.
That’s typical: we were right in the heart of hurricane season back then…now we’re in a time of year where fewer and fewer storms can be expected.
That does NOT mean we’re out of the woods. October typically sees a few threats to the U.S. coast, and as seen by the map above…the Carolinas are not yet out of harm’s way. Statistically, the threat does keep dropping through the month, so that by the time November arrives (the end of the season is November 30), we’re mostly out of harm’s way. That’s mostly: although the natural progression to cooler weather pushes most tropical systems far to our south and east by that point, it’s certainly not an impossibility that something could run up the Eastern seaboard at anytime during a hurricane season.
While Omar’s flaring up in the Caribbean and on a track that would take it away from us, we’ll keep watching what has been a pretty busy season, and you can keep tabs on what’s out there by visiting the Hurricane Center on this site.
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